Matchup analysis
Our model projects Seahawks 21, Eagles 15 at Lincoln Financial Field in Week 15. That is a solid edge: Seahawks win about 69% of the time by our estimate, with a projected margin of 6.1 points and 35.7 combined points.
The Seahawks are 2-1, scoring 25 and allowing 16.7 points per game (+8.3 per game). The Eagles are 2-1, scoring 18.3 and allowing 23 points per game (-4.7 per game).
Seahawks' strong offense (7th of 32, worth about 25.4 points against an average defense) meets Eagles' strong defense (8th) — an even matchup on paper, so game script and turnovers will decide how many points Seahawks puts up. Expect Eagles to find it hard going: Seahawks' elite defense (2nd) outranks Eagles' below-average offense (21st of 32, worth about 21.8 points against an average defense).
The NFL is noisy: even a well-rated projection misses the final margin by about 10 points on average. Based on how real results have scattered around our numbers, the final margin should land somewhere between Seahawks by 23 and Eagles by 11 about 80% of the time.
The Eagles get about 2.6 points for playing at home. The Seahawks are still favoured on the road, so the ratings gap is bigger than the value of playing at home. The game is on FOX.
More: Seahawks schedule · Eagles schedule · all Week 15 projections
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
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