NFL Week 15 Predictions & Projected Scores (2026)

Updated Oct 2, 2026

Week 15 of the 2026 NFL season has 16 games on our board. The closest projected matchup is Broncos at Raiders (0.1-point margin), the highest projected total is Cowboys at Rams (47.1 points) and the lowest is Patriots at Chiefs (35.2). 11 games are rated a toss-up (neither side above 58%).

Power rankings · Playoff predictions · How accurate are we?

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.

Every game

Thu, Dec 17, 8:15 PM ESTPrime Video
49ers21
Chargers20
We project 49ers 21-20, a 0.6-point margin with 41.2 total points; 49ers win 52% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
SF by 0.6
Total 41.2
Book line
Not posted
Our number — SF by 0.6 · Total 41.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
49ers 52% · total 41.2Full preview →
Sat, Dec 19, 5:00 PM ESTFOX
Seahawks21
Eagles15
We project Seahawks 21-15, a 6.1-point margin with 35.7 total points; Seahawks win 69% of the time.
Our number
SEA by 6.1
Total 35.8
Book line
Not posted
Our number — SEA by 6.1 · Total 35.8 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Seahawks 69% · total 35.7Full preview →
Sat, Dec 19, 8:20 PM ESTCBS
Bears22
Bills22
We project Bears 22-22, a 0.4-point margin with 43.8 total points; Bears win 51% of the time.
Our number
Even
Total 43.8
Book line
Not posted
Our number — Even · Total 43.8 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bears 51% · total 43.8Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
Dolphins18
Packers22
We project Packers 22-18, a 3.3-point margin with 40.1 total points; Packers win 61% of the time.
Our number
GB by 3.3
Total 40
Book line
Not posted
Our number — GB by 3.3 · Total 40 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Packers 61% · total 40.1Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Colts23
Titans23
We project Colts 23-23, a 0.6-point margin with 46.3 total points; Colts win 52% of the time.
Our number
IND by 0.6
Total 46.3
Book line
Not posted
Our number — IND by 0.6 · Total 46.3 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Colts 52% · total 46.3Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Browns19
Giants19
We project Giants 19-19, a 0.9-point margin with 37.9 total points; Giants win 53% of the time.
Our number
NYG by 0.9
Total 37.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — NYG by 0.9 · Total 37.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Giants 53% · total 37.9Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Ravens19
Steelers21
We project Steelers 21-19, a 1.7-point margin with 40.5 total points; Steelers win 56% of the time.
Our number
PIT by 1.7
Total 40.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — PIT by 1.7 · Total 40.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Steelers 56% · total 40.5Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
Saints21
Buccaneers21
We project Buccaneers 21-21, a 0.5-point margin with 41.9 total points; Buccaneers win 51% of the time.
Our number
TB by 0.5
Total 41.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — TB by 0.5 · Total 41.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Buccaneers 51% · total 41.9Full preview →

Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
Falcons20
Commanders22
We project Commanders 22-20, a 1.7-point margin with 42.5 total points; Commanders win 55% of the time.
Our number
WAS by 1.7
Total 42.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — WAS by 1.7 · Total 42.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Commanders 55% · total 42.5Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
Bengals22
Panthers24
We project Panthers 24-22, a 2.2-point margin with 46.1 total points; Panthers win 57% of the time.
Our number
CAR by 2.2
Total 46.1
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CAR by 2.2 · Total 46.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Panthers 57% · total 46.1Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Jaguars21
Texans19
We project Jaguars 21-19, a 1.4-point margin with 39.5 total points; Jaguars win 55% of the time.
Our number
JAX by 1.4
Total 39.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — JAX by 1.4 · Total 39.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Jaguars 55% · total 39.5Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 4:05 PM ESTFOX
Jets22
Cardinals24
We project Cardinals 24-22, a 2.6-point margin with 45.8 total points; Cardinals win 58% of the time.
Our number
ARI by 2.6
Total 45.8
Book line
Not posted
Our number — ARI by 2.6 · Total 45.8 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Cardinals 58% · total 45.8Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 4:25 PM ESTCBS
Broncos21
Raiders21
We project Raiders 21-21, a 0.1-point margin with 41.5 total points; Raiders win 50% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
Even
Total 41.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — Even · Total 41.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Raiders 50% · total 41.5Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 4:25 PM ESTCBS
Cowboys21
Rams26
We project Rams 26-21, a 4.7-point margin with 47.1 total points; Rams win 65% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
LA by 4.7
Total 47.1
Book line
Not posted
Our number — LA by 4.7 · Total 47.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Rams 65% · total 47.1Full preview →
Sun, Dec 20, 8:20 PM ESTNBC
Lions16
Vikings26
We project Vikings 26-16, a 9.3-point margin with 42.1 total points; Vikings win 77% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
MIN by 9.3
Total 42.1
Book line
Not posted
Our number — MIN by 9.3 · Total 42.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Vikings 77% · total 42.1Full preview →
Mon, Dec 21, 8:15 PM ESTESPN / ABC
Patriots17
Chiefs18
We project Chiefs 18-17, a 1.1-point margin with 35.2 total points; Chiefs win 54% of the time.
Our number
KC by 1.1
Total 35.2
Book line
Not posted
Our number — KC by 1.1 · Total 35.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Chiefs 54% · total 35.2Full preview →

How these numbers are made

Each team gets offense and defense ratings in points and in expected points added per play, adjusted for opponent strength and started from last season's ratings regressed toward average. Quarterback changes, home field and travel, rest and weather are added with weights fitted on past seasons, and the margin becomes a calibrated win probability. The book line under each game (DraftKings when available, otherwise the consensus or the first book, each named with its source) is neutral market data shown for comparison. See methodology and track record and the season scorecard for how the model has actually done.

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