Back to projector

Washington Commanders

1-2 · NFC East

Season outlook

Projected wins
7.4
range 4–11
Division title
19%
Playoffs
29%

From 10,000 simulated seasons. All 32 teams and how it was tested · Power rankings

2026 season so far

The Commanders are 1-2, scoring 25 and allowing 30.7 points per game (-5.7 per game).

In our opponent-adjusted ratings the Commanders rank 24th of 32 NFL teams overall — 12th on offense and 31st on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.

Next up: vs Colts in Week 4. We project Commanders 26, Colts 27 — the Commanders win 48% of the time.

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.

2026 season

Times shown in your phone's local time. Everything here is this season only.

Free weekly projections email

One email a week in season: the closest projected games, the biggest mismatches and how the model graded out last week. Email address only — no spam, unsubscribe any time.