NFL Week 9 Predictions & Projected Scores (2026)
Updated Oct 2, 2026
Week 9 of the 2026 NFL season has 15 games on our board. The closest projected matchup is Broncos at Panthers (0.5-point margin), the highest projected total is Cowboys at Colts (49.7 points) and the lowest is Giants at Eagles (36.5). 3 games are rated a toss-up (neither side above 58%).
Power rankings · Playoff predictions · How accurate are we?
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Every game
- Thu, Nov 5, 8:15 PM ESTPrime Video
Jaguars21
Ravens18We project Jaguars 21-18, a 2.5-point margin with 39.4 total points; Jaguars win 58% of the time.
Our numberJAX by 2.5Total 39.4Book lineNot postedOur number — JAX by 2.5 · Total 39.4 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Jaguars 58% · total 39.4Full preview → - Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 AM ESTNFL Net
Bengals23
Falcons21We project Bengals 23-21, a 1.8-point margin with 44.2 total points; Bengals win 56% of the time.
Our numberCIN by 1.8Total 44.3Book lineNot postedOur number — CIN by 1.8 · Total 44.3 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bengals 56% · total 44.2Full preview → - Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
Cowboys22
Colts27We project Colts 27-22, a 5.1-point margin with 49.7 total points; Colts win 66% of the time.
Our numberIND by 5.1Total 49.7Book lineNot postedOur number — IND by 5.1 · Total 49.7 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Colts 66% · total 49.7Full preview → - Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Jets17
Chiefs22We project Chiefs 22-17, a 4.4-point margin with 38.9 total points; Chiefs win 64% of the time.
Our numberKC by 4.4Total 38.9Book lineNot postedOur number — KC by 4.4 · Total 38.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Chiefs 64% · total 38.9Full preview → - Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
Lions23
Dolphins21We project Lions 23-21, a 2-point margin with 43 total points; Lions win 56% of the time.
Our numberDET by 2Total 42.9Book lineNot postedOur number — DET by 2 · Total 42.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Lions 56% · total 43Full preview → - Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Browns20
Saints24We project Saints 24-20, a 4.1-point margin with 43.1 total points; Saints win 63% of the time.
Indoors (dome).Our numberNO by 4.1Total 43.2Book lineNot postedOur number — NO by 4.1 · Total 43.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Saints 63% · total 43.1Full preview → - Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
Giants17
Eagles20We project Eagles 20-17, a 2.7-point margin with 36.5 total points; Eagles win 59% of the time.
Our numberPHI by 2.7Total 36.5Book lineNot postedOur number — PHI by 2.7 · Total 36.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Eagles 59% · total 36.5Full preview → - Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
Rams23We project Rams 23-20, a 2.7-point margin with 43.1 total points; Rams win 59% of the time.
Our numberLA by 2.7Total 43.1Book lineNot postedOur number — LA by 2.7 · Total 43.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Rams 59% · total 43.1Full preview →
- Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Broncos21
Panthers22We project Panthers 22-21, a 0.5-point margin with 42.9 total points; Panthers win 52% of the time.
Our numberCAR by 0.5Total 42.9Book lineNot postedOur number — CAR by 0.5 · Total 42.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Panthers 52% · total 42.9Full preview → - Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ESTCBS
Texans21
Chargers18We project Texans 21-18, a 2.9-point margin with 38.2 total points; Texans win 59% of the time.
Indoors (dome).Our numberHOU by 2.9Total 38.2Book lineNot postedOur number — HOU by 2.9 · Total 38.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Texans 59% · total 38.2Full preview → - Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ESTCBS
Raiders18
49ers23We project 49ers 23-18, a 5.3-point margin with 41.2 total points; 49ers win 67% of the time.
Our numberSF by 5.3Total 41.2Book lineNot postedOur number — SF by 5.3 · Total 41.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
49ers 67% · total 41.2Full preview → - Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ESTFOX
Packers16
Patriots22We project Patriots 22-16, a 5.9-point margin with 37.6 total points; Patriots win 68% of the time.
Our numberNE by 5.9Total 37.6Book lineNot postedOur number — NE by 5.9 · Total 37.6 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Patriots 68% · total 37.6Full preview → - Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ESTFOX
Seahawks25We project Seahawks 25-16, a 9.9-point margin with 40.9 total points; Seahawks win 78% of the time.
Our numberSEA by 9.9Total 40.9Book lineNot postedOur number — SEA by 9.9 · Total 40.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Seahawks 78% · total 40.9Full preview → - Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 PM ESTNBC
Bears24We project Bears 24-17, a 6.8-point margin with 41.6 total points; Bears win 71% of the time.
Our numberCHI by 6.8Total 41.6Book lineNot postedOur number — CHI by 6.8 · Total 41.6 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bears 71% · total 41.6Full preview → - Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 PM ESTESPN / ABC
Bills17
Vikings24We project Vikings 24-17, a 6.7-point margin with 40.8 total points; Vikings win 70% of the time.
Indoors (dome).Our numberMIN by 6.7Total 40.8Book lineNot postedOur number — MIN by 6.7 · Total 40.8 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Vikings 70% · total 40.8Full preview →
How these numbers are made
Each team gets offense and defense ratings in points and in expected points added per play, adjusted for opponent strength and started from last season's ratings regressed toward average. Quarterback changes, home field and travel, rest and weather are added with weights fitted on past seasons, and the margin becomes a calibrated win probability. The book line under each game (DraftKings when available, otherwise the consensus or the first book, each named with its source) is neutral market data shown for comparison. See methodology and track record and the season scorecard for how the model has actually done.
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