New England Patriots
1-2 · AFC East
Season outlook
- Projected wins
- 8.6
- range 5–12
- Division title
- 26%
- Playoffs
- 45%
From 10,000 simulated seasons. All 32 teams and how it was tested · Power rankings
2026 season so far
The Patriots are 1-2, scoring 12 and allowing 17 points per game (-5 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings the Patriots rank 11th of 32 NFL teams overall — 25th on offense and 3rd on defense. The defense is the stronger unit.
Next up: at Bills in Week 4. We project Patriots 22, Bills 26 — the Patriots win 35% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
2026 season
- Wk 1
at Seattle Seahawks10–13 · Lumen FieldLost - Wk 2
vs Pittsburgh Steelers20–3 · Gillette StadiumWon - Wk 3
at Jacksonville Jaguars6–35 · EverBank StadiumLost - Wk 4
at Buffalo BillsSun, Oct 4, 5:00 PM · Highmark StadiumProjected 22-26 · 35% - Wk 5
vs Las Vegas RaidersSun, Oct 11, 5:00 PM · Gillette StadiumProjected 23-20 · 61% - Wk 6
vs New York JetsSun, Oct 18, 5:00 PM · Gillette StadiumProjected 22-17 · 66% - Wk 7
at Chicago BearsFri, Oct 23, 12:15 AM · Soldier FieldProjected 17-22 · 36% - Wk 8
at Miami DolphinsSun, Nov 1, 9:25 PM · Hard Rock StadiumProjected 21-16 · 65% - Wk 9
vs Green Bay PackersSun, Nov 8, 9:25 PM · Gillette StadiumProjected 22-16 · 68% - Wk 10
at Detroit LionsSun, Nov 15, 2:30 PM · FC Bayern Munich StadiumProjected 21-19 · 57% - Wk 12
at Los Angeles ChargersMon, Nov 30, 1:20 AM · SoFi StadiumProjected 20-17 · 59% - Wk 13vs Buffalo BillsSun, Dec 6, 9:25 PM · Gillette StadiumProjected 21-19 · 57%
- Wk 14
vs Minnesota VikingsFri, Dec 11, 1:15 AM · Gillette StadiumProjected 16-18 · 42% - Wk 15
at Kansas City ChiefsTue, Dec 22, 1:15 AM · GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumProjected 17-18 · 46% - Wk 16at New York JetsSun, Dec 27, 6:00 PM · MetLife StadiumProjected 19-19 · 50%
- Wk 17
vs Denver BroncosSun, Jan 3, 6:00 PM · Gillette StadiumProjected 18-18 · 50% - Wk 18vs Miami DolphinsSun, Jan 10, 6:00 PM · Gillette StadiumProjected 22-15 · 73%
Times shown in your phone's local time. Everything here is this season only.
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