NFL Week 13 Predictions & Projected Scores (2026)

Updated Oct 2, 2026

Week 13 of the 2026 NFL season has 14 games on our board. The closest projected matchup is Eagles at Cardinals (0.4-point margin), the highest projected total is Lions at Falcons (44.9 points) and the lowest is Chargers at Buccaneers (37.5). 8 games are rated a toss-up (neither side above 58%).

Power rankings · Playoff predictions · How accurate are we?

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.

Every game

Thu, Dec 3, 8:15 PM ESTPrime Video
Chiefs19
Rams22
We project Rams 22-19, a 2.8-point margin with 40.2 total points; Rams win 59% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
LA by 2.8
Total 40.2
Book line
Not posted
Our number — LA by 2.8 · Total 40.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Rams 59% · total 40.2Full preview →
Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Lions22
Falcons23
We project Falcons 23-22, a 1.3-point margin with 44.9 total points; Falcons win 54% of the time.
Our number
ATL by 1.3
Total 44.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — ATL by 1.3 · Total 44.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Falcons 54% · total 44.9Full preview →
Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
Jaguars20
Bears21
We project Bears 21-20, a 0.6-point margin with 40.8 total points; Bears win 52% of the time.
Our number
CHI by 0.6
Total 40.8
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CHI by 0.6 · Total 40.8 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bears 52% · total 40.8Full preview →
Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Bengals20
Browns22
We project Browns 22-20, a 1.6-point margin with 41.4 total points; Browns win 55% of the time.
Our number
CLE by 1.6
Total 41.4
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CLE by 1.6 · Total 41.4 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Browns 55% · total 41.4Full preview →
Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Commanders21
Titans23
We project Titans 23-21, a 2-point margin with 44.4 total points; Titans win 56% of the time.
Our number
TEN by 2
Total 44.4
Book line
Not posted
Our number — TEN by 2 · Total 44.4 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Titans 56% · total 44.4Full preview →
Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
Packers20
Saints25
We project Saints 25-20, a 4.8-point margin with 44.6 total points; Saints win 65% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
NO by 4.8
Total 44.7
Book line
Not posted
Our number — NO by 4.8 · Total 44.7 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Saints 65% · total 44.6Full preview →
Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
49ers21
Giants19
We project 49ers 21-19, a 2.6-point margin with 40.2 total points; 49ers win 58% of the time.
Our number
SF by 2.6
Total 40.2
Book line
Not posted
Our number — SF by 2.6 · Total 40.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
49ers 58% · total 40.2Full preview →

Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Chargers18
Buccaneers19
We project Buccaneers 19-18, a 0.9-point margin with 37.5 total points; Buccaneers win 53% of the time.
Our number
TB by 0.9
Total 37.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — TB by 0.9 · Total 37.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Buccaneers 53% · total 37.5Full preview →
Sun, Dec 6, 4:05 PM ESTFOX
Dolphins15
Broncos24
We project Broncos 24-15, a 8.9-point margin with 39.1 total points; Broncos win 76% of the time.
Our number
DEN by 8.9
Total 39
Book line
Not posted
Our number — DEN by 8.9 · Total 39 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Broncos 76% · total 39.1Full preview →
Sun, Dec 6, 4:05 PM ESTFOX
Eagles21
Cardinals21
We project Eagles 21-21, a 0.4-point margin with 42.4 total points; Eagles win 51% of the time.
Our number
Even
Total 42.3
Book line
Not posted
Our number — Even · Total 42.3 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Eagles 51% · total 42.4Full preview →
Sun, Dec 6, 4:25 PM ESTCBS
Panthers18
Vikings25
We project Vikings 25-18, a 7.3-point margin with 42.5 total points; Vikings win 72% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
MIN by 7.3
Total 42.4
Book line
Not posted
Our number — MIN by 7.3 · Total 42.4 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Vikings 72% · total 42.5Full preview →
Sun, Dec 6, 4:25 PM ESTCBS
Bills19
Patriots21
We project Patriots 21-19, a 2-point margin with 39.2 total points; Patriots win 57% of the time.
Our number
NE by 2
Total 39.2
Book line
Not posted
Our number — NE by 2 · Total 39.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Patriots 57% · total 39.2Full preview →
Sun, Dec 6, 8:20 PM ESTNBC
Texans19
Steelers20
We project Steelers 20-19, a 0.7-point margin with 38.5 total points; Steelers win 52% of the time.
Our number
PIT by 0.7
Total 38.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — PIT by 0.7 · Total 38.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Steelers 52% · total 38.5Full preview →
Mon, Dec 7, 8:15 PM ESTESPN / ABC
Cowboys17
Seahawks27
We project Seahawks 27-17, a 9.9-point margin with 43.1 total points; Seahawks win 78% of the time.
Our number
SEA by 9.9
Total 43.1
Book line
Not posted
Our number — SEA by 9.9 · Total 43.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Seahawks 78% · total 43.1Full preview →

How these numbers are made

Each team gets offense and defense ratings in points and in expected points added per play, adjusted for opponent strength and started from last season's ratings regressed toward average. Quarterback changes, home field and travel, rest and weather are added with weights fitted on past seasons, and the margin becomes a calibrated win probability. The book line under each game (DraftKings when available, otherwise the consensus or the first book, each named with its source) is neutral market data shown for comparison. See methodology and track record and the season scorecard for how the model has actually done.

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