NFL Week 14 Predictions & Projected Scores (2026)

Updated Oct 2, 2026

Week 14 of the 2026 NFL season has 15 games on our board. The closest projected matchup is Colts at Eagles (0.4-point margin), the highest projected total is Titans at Lions (46.9 points) and the lowest is Vikings at Patriots (34). 8 games are rated a toss-up (neither side above 58%).

Power rankings · Playoff predictions · How accurate are we?

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.

Every game

Thu, Dec 10, 8:15 PM ESTPrime Video
Vikings18
Patriots16
We project Vikings 18-16, a 2.5-point margin with 34 total points; Vikings win 58% of the time.
Our number
MIN by 2.5
Total 34
Book line
Not posted
Our number — MIN by 2.5 · Total 34 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Vikings 58% · total 34Full preview →
Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Falcons18
Browns21
We project Browns 21-18, a 3.2-point margin with 38.4 total points; Browns win 60% of the time.
Our number
CLE by 3.2
Total 38.4
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CLE by 3.2 · Total 38.4 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Browns 60% · total 38.4Full preview →
Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
Titans22
Lions25
We project Lions 25-22, a 3.4-point margin with 46.9 total points; Lions win 61% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
DET by 3.4
Total 46.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — DET by 3.4 · Total 46.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Lions 61% · total 46.9Full preview →
Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Bears24
Dolphins17
We project Bears 24-17, a 6.6-point margin with 41.4 total points; Bears win 70% of the time.
Our number
CHI by 6.6
Total 41.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CHI by 6.6 · Total 41.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bears 70% · total 41.4Full preview →
Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Broncos21
Jets20
We project Broncos 21-20, a 0.7-point margin with 40.3 total points; Broncos win 52% of the time.
Our number
DEN by 0.7
Total 40.3
Book line
Not posted
Our number — DEN by 0.7 · Total 40.3 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Broncos 52% · total 40.3Full preview →
Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
Colts21
Eagles21
We project Colts 21-21, a 0.4-point margin with 42.4 total points; Colts win 51% of the time.
Our number
Even
Total 42.3
Book line
Not posted
Our number — Even · Total 42.3 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Colts 51% · total 42.4Full preview →
Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Texans22
Commanders20
We project Texans 22-20, a 2-point margin with 41.2 total points; Texans win 56% of the time.
Our number
HOU by 2
Total 41.2
Book line
Not posted
Our number — HOU by 2 · Total 41.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Texans 56% · total 41.2Full preview →
Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Saints22
Panthers24
We project Panthers 24-22, a 2.2-point margin with 45.6 total points; Panthers win 57% of the time.
Our number
CAR by 2.2
Total 45.7
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CAR by 2.2 · Total 45.7 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Panthers 57% · total 45.6Full preview →

Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
Buccaneers17
Ravens23
We project Ravens 23-17, a 5.8-point margin with 40.2 total points; Ravens win 68% of the time.
Our number
BAL by 5.8
Total 40.2
Book line
Not posted
Our number — BAL by 5.8 · Total 40.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Ravens 68% · total 40.2Full preview →
Sun, Dec 13, 4:05 PM ESTCBS
Chargers17
Raiders23
We project Raiders 23-17, a 5.3-point margin with 39.9 total points; Raiders win 66% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
LV by 5.3
Total 39.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — LV by 5.3 · Total 39.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Raiders 66% · total 39.9Full preview →
Sun, Dec 13, 4:25 PM ESTFOX
Chiefs20
Bengals21
We project Bengals 21-20, a 1.1-point margin with 40.5 total points; Bengals win 54% of the time.
Our number
CIN by 1.1
Total 40.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CIN by 1.1 · Total 40.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bengals 54% · total 40.5Full preview →
Sun, Dec 13, 4:25 PM ESTFOX
Rams20
49ers22
We project 49ers 22-20, a 1.5-point margin with 41.4 total points; 49ers win 55% of the time.
Our number
SF by 1.5
Total 41.4
Book line
Not posted
Our number — SF by 1.5 · Total 41.4 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
49ers 55% · total 41.4Full preview →
Sun, Dec 13, 4:25 PM ESTFOX
Giants14
Seahawks23
We project Seahawks 23-14, a 9.5-point margin with 37.3 total points; Seahawks win 77% of the time.
Our number
SEA by 9.5
Total 37.3
Book line
Not posted
Our number — SEA by 9.5 · Total 37.3 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Seahawks 77% · total 37.3Full preview →
Sun, Dec 13, 8:20 PM ESTNBC
Bills22
Packers20
We project Bills 22-20, a 1.8-point margin with 42.3 total points; Bills win 56% of the time.
Our number
BUF by 1.8
Total 42.3
Book line
Not posted
Our number — BUF by 1.8 · Total 42.3 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bills 56% · total 42.3Full preview →
Mon, Dec 14, 8:15 PM ESTESPN
Steelers16
Jaguars23
We project Jaguars 23-16, a 7.4-point margin with 39.2 total points; Jaguars win 72% of the time.
Our number
JAX by 7.4
Total 39.2
Book line
Not posted
Our number — JAX by 7.4 · Total 39.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Jaguars 72% · total 39.2Full preview →

How these numbers are made

Each team gets offense and defense ratings in points and in expected points added per play, adjusted for opponent strength and started from last season's ratings regressed toward average. Quarterback changes, home field and travel, rest and weather are added with weights fitted on past seasons, and the margin becomes a calibrated win probability. The book line under each game (DraftKings when available, otherwise the consensus or the first book, each named with its source) is neutral market data shown for comparison. See methodology and track record and the season scorecard for how the model has actually done.

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