NFL Week 12 Predictions & Projected Scores (2026)

Updated Oct 2, 2026

Week 12 of the 2026 NFL season has 16 games on our board. The closest projected matchup is Eagles at Cowboys (0-point margin), the highest projected total is Commanders at Cardinals (47.8 points) and the lowest is Patriots at Chargers (37.2). 9 games are rated a toss-up (neither side above 58%).

Power rankings · Playoff predictions · How accurate are we?

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.

Every game

Wed, Nov 25, 8:00 PM ESTNetflix
Packers18
Rams25
We project Rams 25-18, a 6.7-point margin with 42.7 total points; Rams win 70% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
LA by 6.7
Total 42.7
Book line
Not posted
Our number — LA by 6.7 · Total 42.7 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Rams 70% · total 42.7Full preview →
Thu, Nov 26, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Bears25
Lions23
We project Bears 25-23, a 2.1-point margin with 47.3 total points; Bears win 57% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
CHI by 2.1
Total 47.2
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CHI by 2.1 · Total 47.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bears 57% · total 47.3Full preview →
Thu, Nov 26, 4:30 PM ESTFOX
Eagles22
Cowboys22
We project Cowboys 22-22, a 0-point margin with 44.5 total points; Cowboys win 50% of the time.
Our number
Even
Total 44.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — Even · Total 44.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Cowboys 50% · total 44.5Full preview →
Thu, Nov 26, 8:20 PM ESTNBC
Chiefs19
Bills21
We project Bills 21-19, a 1.9-point margin with 39.9 total points; Bills win 56% of the time.
Our number
BUF by 1.9
Total 39.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — BUF by 1.9 · Total 39.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bills 56% · total 39.9Full preview →
Fri, Nov 27, 3:00 PM ESTPrime Video
Broncos20
Steelers20
We project Broncos 20-20, a 0.1-point margin with 39.5 total points; Broncos win 50% of the time.
Our number
Even
Total 39.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — Even · Total 39.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Broncos 50% · total 39.5Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Saints21
Bengals23
We project Bengals 23-21, a 2.1-point margin with 44.7 total points; Bengals win 57% of the time.
Our number
CIN by 2.1
Total 44.7
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CIN by 2.1 · Total 44.7 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bengals 57% · total 44.7Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
Raiders18
Browns21
We project Browns 21-18, a 2.3-point margin with 38.8 total points; Browns win 58% of the time.
Our number
CLE by 2.3
Total 38.8
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CLE by 2.3 · Total 38.8 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Browns 58% · total 38.8Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
Giants19
Colts25
We project Colts 25-19, a 5.5-point margin with 43.9 total points; Colts win 67% of the time.
Our number
IND by 5.5
Total 43.8
Book line
Not posted
Our number — IND by 5.5 · Total 43.8 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Colts 67% · total 43.9Full preview →

Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Jets21
Dolphins20
We project Jets 21-20, a 1.5-point margin with 40.6 total points; Jets win 55% of the time.
Our number
NYJ by 1.5
Total 40.6
Book line
Not posted
Our number — NYJ by 1.5 · Total 40.6 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Jets 55% · total 40.6Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM ESTFOX
Falcons16
Vikings23
We project Vikings 23-16, a 7.4-point margin with 38.4 total points; Vikings win 72% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
MIN by 7.4
Total 38.4
Book line
Not posted
Our number — MIN by 7.4 · Total 38.4 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Vikings 72% · total 38.4Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Ravens19
Texans22
We project Texans 22-19, a 3.4-point margin with 40.8 total points; Texans win 61% of the time.
Our number
HOU by 3.4
Total 40.8
Book line
Not posted
Our number — HOU by 3.4 · Total 40.8 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Texans 61% · total 40.8Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 4:05 PM ESTCBS
Titans15
Jaguars25
We project Jaguars 25-15, a 10-point margin with 40.4 total points; Jaguars win 78% of the time.
Our number
JAX by 10
Total 40.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — JAX by 10 · Total 40.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Jaguars 78% · total 40.4Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 4:25 PM ESTFOX
Commanders23
Cardinals25
We project Cardinals 25-23, a 2-point margin with 47.8 total points; Cardinals win 56% of the time.
Our number
ARI by 2
Total 47.8
Book line
Not posted
Our number — ARI by 2 · Total 47.8 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Cardinals 56% · total 47.8Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 4:25 PM ESTFOX
Seahawks22
49ers18
We project Seahawks 22-18, a 4.4-point margin with 39.5 total points; Seahawks win 64% of the time.
Our number
SEA by 4.4
Total 39.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — SEA by 4.4 · Total 39.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Seahawks 64% · total 39.5Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 8:20 PM ESTNBC
Patriots20
Chargers17
We project Patriots 20-17, a 3-point margin with 37.2 total points; Patriots win 59% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
NE by 3
Total 37.2
Book line
Not posted
Our number — NE by 3 · Total 37.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Patriots 59% · total 37.2Full preview →
Mon, Nov 30, 8:15 PM ESTESPN
Panthers22
Buccaneers22
We project Buccaneers 22-22, a 0.4-point margin with 43.4 total points; Buccaneers win 51% of the time.
Our number
Even
Total 43.3
Book line
Not posted
Our number — Even · Total 43.3 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Buccaneers 51% · total 43.4Full preview →

How these numbers are made

Each team gets offense and defense ratings in points and in expected points added per play, adjusted for opponent strength and started from last season's ratings regressed toward average. Quarterback changes, home field and travel, rest and weather are added with weights fitted on past seasons, and the margin becomes a calibrated win probability. The book line under each game (DraftKings when available, otherwise the consensus or the first book, each named with its source) is neutral market data shown for comparison. See methodology and track record and the season scorecard for how the model has actually done.

Free weekly projections email

One email a week in season: the closest projected games, the biggest mismatches and how the model graded out last week. Email address only — no spam, unsubscribe any time.