NFL Week 2 Predictions & Projected Scores (2026)

Updated Oct 2, 2026

Week 2 of the 2026 NFL season has 16 games on our board. The closest projected matchup is Commanders at Cowboys (0.8-point margin), the highest projected total is Commanders at Cowboys (57 points) and the lowest is Browns at Buccaneers (41.6). 4 games are rated a toss-up (neither side above 58%).

16 games have finished so far: the model picked the winner in 9 of them (56%).

Power rankings · Playoff predictions · How accurate are we?

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.

Every game

FinalPrime Video
Lions25final 31
Bills29final 41
Final: Lions 31, Bills 41. We projected Bills 29-25 (64%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: 67°F, Wind 4 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverse
Our number
BUF by 4.5
Total 53.5
Closing consensus
BUF -5.5
Total 54.5
Our number — BUF by 4.5 · Total 53.5 | Closing consensus — BUF -5.5 · Total 54.5
Final BUF by 10. BUF covered the spread. 72 points — over the 54.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Bills 64% · total 53.5Full preview →
FinalFOX
Panthers21final 34
Falcons29final 3
Final: Panthers 34, Falcons 3. We projected Falcons 29-21 (74%) — the model missed this one.
Our number
ATL by 8
Total 49.9
Closing consensus
CAR -2.5
Total 43.5
Our number — ATL by 8 · Total 49.9 | Closing consensus — CAR -2.5 · Total 43.5
Final CAR by 31. CAR covered the spread. 37 points — under the 43.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Falcons 74% · total 49.9Full preview →
FinalFOX
Vikings23final 9
Bears25final 3
Final: Vikings 9, Bears 3. We projected Bears 25-23 (57%) — the model missed this one.
Game-time weather: 68°F, Wind 8 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverse
Our number
CHI by 2.1
Total 47.7
Closing consensus
CHI -4.5
Total 46.5
Our number — CHI by 2.1 · Total 47.7 | Closing consensus — CHI -4.5 · Total 46.5
Final MIN by 6. MIN covered the spread. 12 points — under the 46.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Bears 57% · total 47.7Full preview →
FinalFOX
Eagles26final 24
Titans17final 20
Final: Eagles 24, Titans 20. We projected Eagles 26-17 (74%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: 92°F, Wind 5 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverse
Our number
PHI by 8.1
Total 42.9
Closing consensus
PHI -7
Total 39.5
Our number — PHI by 8.1 · Total 42.9 | Closing consensus — PHI -7 · Total 39.5
Final PHI by 4. TEN covered the spread. 44 points — over the 39.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Eagles 74% · total 42.9Full preview →
FinalCBS
Steelers19final 3
Patriots25final 20
Final: Steelers 3, Patriots 20. We projected Patriots 25-19 (68%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: 63°F, Wind 7 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverse
Our number
NE by 5.9
Total 43.4
Closing consensus
NE -4.5
Total 41.5
Our number — NE by 5.9 · Total 43.4 | Closing consensus — NE -4.5 · Total 41.5
Final NE by 17. NE covered the spread. 23 points — under the 41.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Patriots 68% · total 43.4Full preview →
FinalFOX
Packers25final 20
Jets23final 17
Final: Packers 20, Jets 17. We projected Packers 25-23 (56%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: 69°F, Wind 7 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverse
Our number
GB by 2
Total 48.3
Closing consensus
GB -3.5
Total 44.5
Our number — GB by 2 · Total 48.3 | Closing consensus — GB -3.5 · Total 44.5
Final GB by 3. NYJ covered the spread. 37 points — under the 44.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Packers 56% · total 48.3Full preview →
FinalCBS
Browns18final 23
Buccaneers24final 19
Final: Browns 23, Buccaneers 19. We projected Buccaneers 24-18 (69%) — the model missed this one.
Game-time weather: 86°F, Wind 4 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverse
Our number
TB by 6.2
Total 41.5
Closing consensus
TB -8.5
Total 41.5
Our number — TB by 6.2 · Total 41.5 | Closing consensus — TB -8.5 · Total 41.5
Final CLE by 4. CLE covered the spread. 42 points — over the 41.5. Our number was closer. Both totals were equally close.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Buccaneers 69% · total 41.6Full preview →
FinalCBS
Saints20final 24
Ravens28final 17
Final: Saints 24, Ravens 17. We projected Ravens 28-20 (75%) — the model missed this one.
Game-time weather: 79°F, Wind 10 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverse
Our number
BAL by 8.5
Total 48.1
Closing consensus
BAL -8.5
Total 45.5
Our number — BAL by 8.5 · Total 48.1 | Closing consensus — BAL -8.5 · Total 45.5
Final NO by 7. NO covered the spread. 41 points — under the 45.5. Our number and the book's were equally close. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Ravens 75% · total 48.1Full preview →

FinalCBS
Bengals23final 20
Texans28final 6
Final: Bengals 20, Texans 6. We projected Texans 28-23 (63%) — the model missed this one.
Our number
HOU by 4.2
Total 51
Closing consensus
HOU -3
Total 45.5
Our number — HOU by 4.2 · Total 51 | Closing consensus — HOU -3 · Total 45.5
Final CIN by 14. CIN covered the spread. 26 points — under the 45.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Texans 63% · total 51Full preview →
FinalCBS
Jaguars23final 13
Broncos21final 20
Final: Jaguars 13, Broncos 20. We projected Jaguars 23-21 (57%) — the model missed this one.
Game-time weather: 73°F, Wind 12 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverse
Our number
JAX by 2.2
Total 43.7
Closing consensus
DEN -2.5
Total 45.5
Our number — JAX by 2.2 · Total 43.7 | Closing consensus — DEN -2.5 · Total 45.5
Final DEN by 7. DEN covered the spread. 33 points — under the 45.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jaguars 57% · total 43.8Full preview →
FinalCBS
Raiders21final 26
Chargers25final 14
Final: Raiders 26, Chargers 14. We projected Chargers 25-21 (63%) — the model missed this one.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
LAC by 4.1
Total 45.2
Closing consensus
LAC -6.5
Total 43.5
Our number — LAC by 4.1 · Total 45.2 | Closing consensus — LAC -6.5 · Total 43.5
Final LV by 12. LV covered the spread. 40 points — under the 43.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Chargers 63% · total 45.1Full preview →
FinalFOX
Commanders28final 20
Cowboys29final 37
Final: Commanders 20, Cowboys 37. We projected Cowboys 29-28 (53%) — winner called correctly.
Our number
DAL by 0.8
Total 57
Closing consensus
DAL -3.5
Total 51.5
Our number — DAL by 0.8 · Total 57 | Closing consensus — DAL -3.5 · Total 51.5
Final DAL by 17. DAL covered the spread. 57 points — over the 51.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Cowboys 53% · total 57Full preview →
FinalFOX
Seahawks25final 31
Cardinals20final 7
Final: Seahawks 31, Cardinals 7. We projected Seahawks 25-20 (64%) — winner called correctly.
Our number
SEA by 4.4
Total 45.1
Closing consensus
SEA -3.5
Total 40.5
Our number — SEA by 4.4 · Total 45.1 | Closing consensus — SEA -3.5 · Total 40.5
Final SEA by 24. SEA covered the spread. 38 points — under the 40.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Seahawks 64% · total 45Full preview →
FinalFOX
Dolphins18final 13
49ers29final 35
Final: Dolphins 13, 49ers 35. We projected 49ers 29-18 (79%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: 69°F, Wind 5 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverse
Our number
SF by 10.4
Total 46.9
Closing consensus
SF -12.5
Total 44.5
Our number — SF by 10.4 · Total 46.9 | Closing consensus — SF -12.5 · Total 44.5
Final SF by 22. SF covered the spread. 48 points — over the 44.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
49ers 79% · total 46.9Full preview →
FinalNBC
Colts21final 30
Chiefs27final 33
Final: Colts 30, Chiefs 33. We projected Chiefs 27-21 (70%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: 71°F, Wind 10 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverse
Our number
KC by 6.5
Total 48.1
Closing consensus
KC -6
Total 46.5
Our number — KC by 6.5 · Total 48.1 | Closing consensus — KC -6 · Total 46.5
Final KC by 3. IND covered the spread. 63 points — over the 46.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Chiefs 70% · total 48.1Full preview →
FinalESPN / ABC
Giants24final 6
Rams28final 28
Final: Giants 6, Rams 28. We projected Rams 28-24 (64%) — winner called correctly.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
LA by 4.6
Total 51.7
Closing consensus
LA -6.5
Total 47.5
Our number — LA by 4.6 · Total 51.7 | Closing consensus — LA -6.5 · Total 47.5
Final LA by 22. LA covered the spread. 34 points — under the 47.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Rams 64% · total 51.8Full preview →

How these numbers are made

Each team gets offense and defense ratings in points and in expected points added per play, adjusted for opponent strength and started from last season's ratings regressed toward average. Quarterback changes, home field and travel, rest and weather are added with weights fitted on past seasons, and the margin becomes a calibrated win probability. The book line under each game (DraftKings when available, otherwise the consensus or the first book, each named with its source) is neutral market data shown for comparison. See methodology and track record and the season scorecard for how the model has actually done.

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