NFL Week 18 Predictions & Projected Scores (2026)

Updated Oct 2, 2026

Week 18 of the 2026 NFL season has 16 games on our board. The closest projected matchup is Lions at Packers (0-point margin), the highest projected total is Cowboys at Commanders (47.7 points) and the lowest is Eagles at Giants (36.5). 4 games are rated a toss-up (neither side above 58%).

Power rankings · Playoff predictions · How accurate are we?

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.

Every game

Sun, Jan 10, 12:00 AM EST
Jets19
Bills24
We project Bills 24-19, a 4.8-point margin with 42.8 total points; Bills win 65% of the time.
Our number
BUF by 4.8
Total 42.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — BUF by 4.8 · Total 42.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bills 65% · total 42.8Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10, 12:00 AM EST
Browns19
Bengals23
We project Bengals 23-19, a 4-point margin with 41.4 total points; Bengals win 62% of the time.
Our number
CIN by 4
Total 41.4
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CIN by 4 · Total 41.4 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bengals 62% · total 41.4Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10, 12:00 AM EST
Chargers16
Broncos21
We project Broncos 21-16, a 5.6-point margin with 37.2 total points; Broncos win 67% of the time.
Our number
DEN by 5.6
Total 37.1
Book line
Not posted
Our number — DEN by 5.6 · Total 37.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Broncos 67% · total 37.2Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10, 12:00 AM EST
Lions22
Packers22
We project Packers 22-22, a 0-point margin with 43.6 total points; Packers win 50% of the time.
Our number
Even
Total 43.6
Book line
Not posted
Our number — Even · Total 43.6 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Packers 50% · total 43.6Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10, 12:00 AM EST
Jaguars23
Colts21
We project Jaguars 23-21, a 2.5-point margin with 43.9 total points; Jaguars win 58% of the time.
Our number
JAX by 2.5
Total 43.8
Book line
Not posted
Our number — JAX by 2.5 · Total 43.8 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Jaguars 58% · total 43.9Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10, 12:00 AM EST
Raiders18
Chiefs20
We project Chiefs 20-18, a 2.9-point margin with 37.9 total points; Chiefs win 59% of the time.
Our number
KC by 2.9
Total 37.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — KC by 2.9 · Total 37.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Chiefs 59% · total 37.9Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10, 12:00 AM EST
Seahawks22
Rams19
We project Seahawks 22-19, a 2.9-point margin with 40.5 total points; Seahawks win 59% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
SEA by 2.9
Total 40.6
Book line
Not posted
Our number — SEA by 2.9 · Total 40.6 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Seahawks 59% · total 40.5Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10, 12:00 AM EST
Bears18
Vikings23
We project Vikings 23-18, a 4.3-point margin with 40.7 total points; Vikings win 63% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
MIN by 4.3
Total 40.7
Book line
Not posted
Our number — MIN by 4.3 · Total 40.7 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Vikings 63% · total 40.7Full preview →

Sun, Jan 10, 12:00 AM EST
Dolphins15
Patriots22
We project Patriots 22-15, a 7.8-point margin with 37 total points; Patriots win 73% of the time.
Our number
NE by 7.8
Total 36.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — NE by 7.8 · Total 36.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Patriots 73% · total 37Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10, 12:00 AM EST
Buccaneers20
Saints24
We project Saints 24-20, a 4.1-point margin with 44.1 total points; Saints win 63% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
NO by 4.1
Total 44.1
Book line
Not posted
Our number — NO by 4.1 · Total 44.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Saints 63% · total 44.1Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10, 12:00 AM EST
Eagles18
Giants19
We project Giants 19-18, a 1.1-point margin with 36.5 total points; Giants win 53% of the time.
Our number
NYG by 1.1
Total 36.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — NYG by 1.1 · Total 36.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Giants 53% · total 36.5Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10, 12:00 AM EST
49ers24
Cardinals23
We project 49ers 24-23, a 0.9-point margin with 46.1 total points; 49ers win 53% of the time.
Our number
SF by 0.9
Total 46.1
Book line
Not posted
Our number — SF by 0.9 · Total 46.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
49ers 53% · total 46.1Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10, 12:00 AM EST
Cowboys23
Commanders25
We project Commanders 25-23, a 2.1-point margin with 47.7 total points; Commanders win 57% of the time.
Our number
WAS by 2.1
Total 47.7
Book line
Not posted
Our number — WAS by 2.1 · Total 47.7 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Commanders 57% · total 47.7Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10, 12:00 AM EST
Falcons20
Panthers24
We project Panthers 24-20, a 4.1-point margin with 43.1 total points; Panthers win 63% of the time.
Our number
CAR by 4.1
Total 43.1
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CAR by 4.1 · Total 43.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Panthers 63% · total 43.1Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10, 12:00 AM EST
Steelers19
Ravens22
We project Ravens 22-19, a 3.6-point margin with 40.6 total points; Ravens win 62% of the time.
Our number
BAL by 3.6
Total 40.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — BAL by 3.6 · Total 40.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Ravens 62% · total 40.6Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10, 12:00 AM EST
Titans18
Texans24
We project Texans 24-18, a 6-point margin with 42 total points; Texans win 68% of the time.
Our number
HOU by 6
Total 41.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — HOU by 6 · Total 41.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Texans 68% · total 42Full preview →

How these numbers are made

Each team gets offense and defense ratings in points and in expected points added per play, adjusted for opponent strength and started from last season's ratings regressed toward average. Quarterback changes, home field and travel, rest and weather are added with weights fitted on past seasons, and the margin becomes a calibrated win probability. The book line under each game (DraftKings when available, otherwise the consensus or the first book, each named with its source) is neutral market data shown for comparison. See methodology and track record and the season scorecard for how the model has actually done.

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